Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.035141 0.037908 0.040809 0.044082 0.047676 0.051508 0.055912
2025-04-13 0.030989 0.034950 0.039331 0.044555 0.050637 0.057524 0.065954
2025-04-20 0.027940 0.032570 0.037900 0.044528 0.052603 0.062191 0.074538
2025-04-27 0.025987 0.031118 0.037222 0.045083 0.055033 0.067333 0.083887
2025-05-04 0.024079 0.029480 0.036080 0.044833 0.056275 0.070918 0.091396
2025-05-11 0.022542 0.028136 0.035137 0.044666 0.057486 0.074415 0.098933
2025-05-18 0.021192 0.026907 0.034213 0.044389 0.058443 0.077538 0.106102
2025-05-25 0.020088 0.025906 0.033491 0.044285 0.059557 0.080873 0.113755
2025-06-01 0.018914 0.024730 0.032441 0.043628 0.059804 0.082934 0.119627
2025-06-08 0.017797 0.023559 0.031318 0.042771 0.059666 0.084369 0.124594
2025-06-15 0.016931 0.022682 0.030543 0.042343 0.060092 0.086621 0.130952
2025-06-22 0.016151 0.021880 0.029822 0.041934 0.060491 0.088819 0.137352
2025-06-29 0.015288 0.020924 0.028839 0.041091 0.060188 0.089922 0.142083
2025-07-06 0.014868 0.020584 0.028728 0.041545 0.061917 0.094356 0.152826
2025-07-13 0.014348 0.020070 0.028330 0.041525 0.062876 0.097581 0.161729
2025-07-20 0.014008 0.019803 0.028280 0.042037 0.064709 0.102369 0.173847
2025-07-27 0.013502 0.019261 0.027786 0.041807 0.065291 0.105046 0.182293
2025-08-03 0.013048 0.018779 0.027358 0.041653 0.065978 0.107933 0.191377
2025-08-10 0.012601 0.018286 0.026887 0.041399 0.066467 0.110483 0.200017
2025-08-17 0.012217 0.017875 0.026526 0.041303 0.067214 0.113535 0.209926
2025-08-24 0.011743 0.017304 0.025884 0.040699 0.067020 0.114823 0.216320
2025-08-31 0.011257 0.016695 0.025156 0.039911 0.066445 0.115344 0.221138
2025-09-07 0.010881 0.016248 0.024672 0.039517 0.066558 0.117177 0.228922